Volume 7 Issue 4
Oct.  2014
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Article Navigation >  Water Science and Engineering  > 2014  >  7(4): 446-456
Chang-lin CHEN, Jun-cheng ZUO, Mei-xiang CHEN, Zhi-gang GAO, C.-K. SHUM. 2014: Sea level change under IPCC-A2 scenario in Bohai, Yellow, and East China Seas. Water Science and Engineering, 7(4): 446-456. doi: 10.3882/j.issn.1674-2370.2014.04.009
Citation: Chang-lin CHEN, Jun-cheng ZUO, Mei-xiang CHEN, Zhi-gang GAO, C.-K. SHUM. 2014: Sea level change under IPCC-A2 scenario in Bohai, Yellow, and East China Seas. Water Science and Engineering, 7(4): 446-456. doi: 10.3882/j.issn.1674-2370.2014.04.009
shu

Sea level change under IPCC-A2 scenario in Bohai, Yellow, and East China Seas

doi: 10.3882/j.issn.1674-2370.2014.04.009
  • 1.

    State Key Laboratory of Satellite Ocean Environment Dynamics, Second Institute of Oceanography,   State Oceanic Administration, Hangzhou 310012, P. R. China

  • 2.

    College of Harbor, Coastal and Offshore Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, P. R. China

  • 3.

    National Marine Date and Information Service, State Oceanic Administration, Tianjin 300171, P. R. China

  • 4.

    School of Earth Sciences, Ohio State University, Columbus OH 43210, USA

Funds:  This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grants No. 41206021 and 41276018), the National Basic Research Program of China (Grant No. 2012CB955601), the Young Scientist Foundation of the State Oceanic Administration, China (Grant No. 2012251), the U.S. National Science Foundation Belmont Forum Program (Grant No. ICER-1342644), and the GASI-03-01-01-09.
More Information
  • Corresponding author: Jun-cheng ZUO
  • Received Date: 2013-08-24
  • Rev Recd Date: 2014-06-30
    Abstract
  • Because of the environmental and socioeconomic impacts of anthropogenic sea level rise (SLR), it is very important to understand the processes leading to past and present SLRs towards more reliable future SLR projections. A regional ocean general circulation model (ROGCM), with a grid refinement in the Bohai, Yellow, and East China Seas (BYECSs), was set up to project SLR induced by the ocean dynamic change in the 21st century. The model does not consider the contributions from ice sheets and glacier melting. Data of all forcing terms required in the model came from the simulation of the Community Climate System Model version 3.0 (CCSM3) under the International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)-A2 scenario. Simulation results show that at the end of the 21st century, the sea level in the BYECSs will rise about 0.12 to 0.20 m. The SLR in the BYECSs during the 21st century is mainly caused by the ocean mass redistribution due to the ocean dynamic change of the Pacific Ocean, which means that water in the Pacific Ocean tends to move to the continental shelves of the BYECSs, although the local steric sea level change is another factor.

     

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